German election live: voters head to polls amid fears over Ukraine security, Trump and rise of far right | Germany

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It seems to be doubtful, in a certain way to the major investment, conservative Merz will be Germany in the next chancellor. CDU and its Bavarian sister party; Christian social union (CSU)have been constantly and comfortably ahead On top of 30% with Germany alternative Secondly, 20-21%.

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Do not appear on the road to the power for the far side of the right AFD from all the other parts of the kingdoms of working with a part of the undemocratic.

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According to Guardian’s clip tracker, and SPD are the third day of 15% and greens and fourth 13%. The lorping To the left 5% hrdle predicted to clear and expected to secure about 7-8% but it looks at a certainty that the “conservative-left” Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) and liberal FDP I’ll do the same.

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Depending on whether it is a trio (more local associations of children voting (FW), who could do well in Bavaria) score 5% or more, or qualify for three seats The next church could be the four parts of the eight most in modern history.

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Which makes the distribution of the seat in a new parliament very hard to predict. However, the most analysts see the most likely to issue the CDU-married coalitio control including or scholz’s social democrats or greens or maybe both.

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Europe correspondent

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The Christian Democratic Union and Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CDU/CSU) frontrunners, led by wealthy former asset manager Friedrich Merz, are proposing to cut taxes, tighten welfare eligibility, slash immigration, process asylum claims abroad, and boost aid to Ukraine.

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The far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) has endorsed the concept of “re-migration”, threatening the mass deportation of migrants. It also pledges a return to the deutschmark, military conscription, and sweeping education reforms.

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Scholz’s Social Democratic party (SPD) aims to support low-income families by cutting VAT on food and tax for low earners and raising the minimum wage. It also aims to curb immigration and proposes a €100bn infrastructure investment fund, but is more cautious on Ukraine. Scholz has refused to send long-range Taurus missiles to Kyiv, defending the decision as a “prudent” anti-escalation measure.

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The Greens have announced plans for a “billionaire tax” to help poorer households through the green transition. They are also in favour of increasing the minimum wage and are pushing for incentives to speed up the switch to renewable energy.

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{“Alt”: “Electronic Posters, Showing German chancellor Olavi Scholz, right, and cdu Top candidate Friedrich, stand in the Meadow, Ellenbach near the Meadow in Nieder-Erlenbach near the meadow, “Elench Posters, Showing German chancellor Olaf Scholz, right The CDU Top Candidate Friedrich Merz, stand on the meadow in Nieder, Erlenbach near Frankfurt. “Credit”: “Photograph: Michael Probst / AP” “attributes”: {“Fals” “06.39” “BlockStupdated”: 1740314884000 “BlockStupdatedDisplay” “07.48” ” blockfirstpublishedpubationdapedpeebationdapedpeffedpedpeysdispimez “, 17.48”, “title” “Who is the key players and what have you promised? “” Contributors “;[{“name”:”Jon Henley”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2016/09/22/Jon-Henley.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=49db88bf6fc8b042c62d52be8afd87ae”,”largeImageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2017/10/06/Jon_Henley,_L.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=cf23d4c141249ac9dd9f5c331c359f12″}]”Princedatenine”: “Feb 23 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Europe correspondent

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The three-way “traffic-light” coalition of Social Democrats (SPD), Free Democrats (FDP) and Greens ruling Germany since 2021 collapsed in November under the weight of its own ideological contradictions and the country’s economic and security challenges.

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The outgoing Social Democrat chancellor, Olaf Scholz, fired his liberal finance minister, Christian Lindner, over a bitter months-long budget dispute, then called a confidence vote in parliament deliberately in order to lose it – which he duly did.

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Whoever becomes chancellor will have to tackle an economy beset by high energy and labour costs, stifling bureaucracy, crumbling infrastructure and an economy that has shrunk for two consecutive years for the first time in decades.

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The slowdown with trade partner China has dealt a blow to German exports, a traditional strength, while the key car industry has been slow to develop attractive electric vehicles (EVs) and now faces the threat of US tariffs under Donald Trump.

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Optimists say the vote could give Germany a vital shot at investment, modernisation and renewal. Pessimists say the problems are so structural and expectations so high that the middle-of-the-road coalition that will probably emerge is doomed to disappoint.

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{” Alt “:” German Chancellor Olaf Scholz de Social Democratic Party (SPD), looks up a stage to citizens, dialogue in Brandenburg, one day before the national election. ” “Caption” German Chancellor Olavi Scholz de Social Democratic Party (SPD) looks up a stage to citizens, dialogue in Brandenburg, one day before the National Choice. “Credit”: “AP”}]”}” attributes ” {“Pinned” false “false}” Blockcreatededon “: 1740310774000; “Blockcreatedlondisplay” “06.39”, “BlocklastUpdated”: 1740312506000, “BlocklastUpdatedDisplay”: “07.08”, “BlockfirstPublished”: 1740312506000, “BlockfirstPublisheddisplay”: “07.08 It is “” blockfirstpublisheddisplaynotimezone “:” 07.08 “,” title “:” Why does the German choice really? “,” Contributors “;[{“name”:”Jon Henley”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2016/09/22/Jon-Henley.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=49db88bf6fc8b042c62d52be8afd87ae”,”largeImageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2017/10/06/Jon_Henley,_L.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=cf23d4c141249ac9dd9f5c331c359f12″}]”Princedateline”: “Feb 23 Feb 09.12”, “SeclyaryDatenine” “first published in the sun 23 Feb 2025 06.39”,}, {“” 67bab6bf8f086d399220521d “,” elements “;[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Guten Tag, and good day from Berlin.

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Sixty million Germans choose their next government today, which will lead Europe’s largest economy through what will most likely be the most tumultuous era in decades.

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Voters have to choose who will be given the task of steering Germany through an existential security crisis in Europe with Ukraine and Russia, while at the same time facing unprecedented structural challenges to the country’s economic model amid a worsening geopolitical outlook abroad, most obviously characterised by a crumbling transatlantic alliance with the new US administration of Donald Trump.

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The conservative against the highest Friderich Merz It is widely expected to score a win and get the job. But other than, are more questions than answers. Who will not govern? How many parts will be in a bundestag? Will a long time once again the record will rise in aid, and if so, what is mean for the German political?

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The Assistant Station was open with 8am local period (7am GMT) to close the 6pm local time (5PM GMT) when we should get to the issue of the heads and the first indication that remain in Germany to the other.

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We’ll all the key updates per day, help you understand context of the vote, the sum of the sum themes in campaign, and bring the first-hand reports of the land in Berlin.

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The key is at least

Kate Connolly

Berlin Correspondent

The run-up to today’s watcher’s Kate Connolly trip More than 850 miles of miles of trains against Germany To hear what the citizens to say about his state.

Map of Germany and guardian’s pre-election train traveling

In a language with More than 50 people in five cities and six daysWe heard their hope, fears and hope. Some of the increasing polation, the worries, which is the country which has already spent decades paid bad Nazismi could be to ask for the populist much right. Others complain about Bureaucracy, energy costs – and, so, about the obstacles.

These on the road took Berlin Magdeburg, Bremerhaven Gelsenkirchen and Dresden voices.

What do you say in the poll?

Death Henley

Correspondent Europe