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The next march of Reform saw the party come “within the margin of error” when it came out on top in the first weekly poll to track 2025. The Independent in a major blow to Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch.
The Techne UK the results of the survey came as Nigel Farage ready to host a big pre-inauguration party in Washington DC and cash in on his friendship with Donald Trump. This suggests that the Tories are fleeing to reform in large numbers, but the Liberal Democrats are switching to the Tories.
According to a poll of 1,645 voters on Wednesday and Thursday, Work still leading by one point at 26 percent, down 1 percent from before Christmas. The Tories are also down 1 per cent to 25 per cent, but Reform UK is on 23 per cent and up two points.
The Lib Dems trailed in fourth place with 12 percent and the Greens with 7 percent, both unchanged from last month.
It revealed that despite fights with Elon Musk and disagreements against far-right campaigner Tommy Robinson, as well as councilors who left the party, Mr Farage and Reform continued to make strong progress.
It also suggested Kemi Badenoch’s speech on where the Tories have gone wrong she failed to strengthen her party. Meanwhile, Labour’s economic woes and criticism of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ policies and a trip to China further reduced their support.
Techne CEO Michela Morizzo pointed out that all three parties are effectively within the margin of error of leading the race for public opinion.
She said: “Our first Westminster poll of 2025 largely reflects the continuing problems the main parties are having. Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour, struggling to thrive in a particularly bleak economic climate as the new year begins, fell by one point in the national vote share.
“Similarly, Kemi Badenoch’s Conservative Party is also struggling to find its voice, and they start the year with a one-point drop in their national vote share.
“Only Nigel Farage’s UK reform continues to show momentum, seeing a two-point increase in the national vote share. As such, taking every margin of error into account, we start 2025 with Labour, Conservative and Reform in the UK tightly positioned as they battle for public support and influence.”
According to the data, 22 percent of those who voted for the Conservatives in last year’s elections have already switched to reform. Only 7 per cent of Labor voters in 2024 switched to reform. However, Labor lost 27 percent of its voters in the election, while the Tories lost 30 percent.
But in a more positive finding for Ms Badenoch, almost one in five (18 per cent) Lib Dem voters in the 2024 election would now vote Tory, with just 62 per cent loyal to Sir Ed Davey’s party.